← Cases
United KingdomTravel and aviation2024 – ongoing

Heathrow

Machine learning passenger-flow forecasting

Heathrow cut flight-level forecast error from 30% to 10% after moving passenger-flow forecasting from spreadsheets to machine learning

WorkingVendor case studyVendor ↗

Problem

Heathrow built its passenger-flow forecasts in spreadsheets. A forecast took about two weeks and two people, and errors were high. Data sat in separate legacy tools, which slowed processing and raised costs.

Approach

Heathrow moved to the Databricks Data + AI Platform on Azure and built a machine learning model for passenger flow. It trains and tracks its models with MLflow. The page does not name the algorithms.

Results

30% to 10%flight-level forecast error, per DatabricksVendor case study[1]

Takeaway

Heathrow replaced a two-person, two-week spreadsheet job with a model. The page does not say how the model is used in daily airport planning.

Categories

Business function
Production and quality
Innovation type
Process innovation
Evidence
Vendor case study

Sources

  1. Optimizing air travel with efficient airport flow
    Databricks12 Aug 2024Vendor publication

Source summaries

[1]Databricks12 Aug 2024

Databricks describes how Heathrow replaced spreadsheet-based passenger-flow forecasting, which took two weeks and two people, with a machine learning model on its platform. It reports data processing cut from 80 hours to 4, labor costs down 50%, and flight-level forecast error down from 30% to 10%.

Full details are in the original sources.

Added 4 Nov 2026 · Updated 4 Nov 2026
Open case page ↗